This post is a set of my observations on the current war in Iran and my thoughts on the broader strategic implications. I am not, of course, an expert on the region nor do I have access to any spec…
Regarding that economic point of view thinking… I remember reading a World War 1 history book where they mentioned that before the war, every economist was saying that there wont be a war because the world’s economies are so deeply linked, the UK and Germany were doing too much trade…
Economists have been absolute fucking morons about history and how the world works for literal centuries. We really should pull them down from the pedestal they have climbed on, sit them down and tell them to shut the fuck up for a few decades.
They get fantastically accurate results about what they study, which is large-scale voluntary exchange. Much more so than the other social sciences. The trick is just that war isn’t voluntary exchange (although it does include it), so other disciplines become really important when it breaks out.
Regarding that economic point of view thinking… I remember reading a World War 1 history book where they mentioned that before the war, every economist was saying that there wont be a war because the world’s economies are so deeply linked, the UK and Germany were doing too much trade…
Economists have been absolute fucking morons about history and how the world works for literal centuries. We really should pull them down from the pedestal they have climbed on, sit them down and tell them to shut the fuck up for a few decades.
They get fantastically accurate results about what they study, which is large-scale voluntary exchange. Much more so than the other social sciences. The trick is just that war isn’t voluntary exchange (although it does include it), so other disciplines become really important when it breaks out.
Yeah, I agree. Economists are some of the most egotistical and insufferable people on this planet